🇺🇸 CCSS Math · Grade 8

8.SP.A.3: Using linear models with data

8.SP.A.3 explained: using the equation of a line of best fit to make predictions and interpreting slope and intercept in context. Free practice.

Common Core standard CCSS.Math.Content.8.SP.A.3

Use the equation of a linear model to solve problems in the context of bivariate measurement data, interpreting the slope and intercept. For example, in a linear model for a biology experiment, interpret a slope of 1.5 cm/hr as meaning that an additional hour of sunlight each day is associated with an additional 1.5 cm in mature plant height.

Grade
Grade 8
Domain
Statistics & Probability (SP)
Cluster
Investigate patterns of association in bivariate data

Official wording from the Common Core State Standards for Mathematics (© 2010 National Governors Association Center for Best Practices and Council of Chief State School Officers). View on thecorestandards.org

What 8.SP.A.3 means

A line of best fit is more than a drawing once it has an equation. Suppose a model for a group of apple trees is y = 0.8x + 3, where x is the tree's age in years and y is its height in meters. The slope, 0.8, says that each additional year of age is associated with about 0.8 meters of extra height. The intercept, 3, is the model's height for a tree of age 0, which may or may not make physical sense.

This standard asks students to use such equations to answer questions in context: predict the height of a 6-year-old tree (0.8 × 6 + 3 = 7.8 m), find the age at which the model predicts 9 m, and explain what the slope and intercept mean in words with units. Students also learn to be cautious. Predictions inside the range of the data (interpolation) are more reliable than predictions far outside it (extrapolation), and an intercept can be meaningless when an input of zero lies far from the data, such as a person aged 0 in a study of adult runners.

Students should be able to

  • Use the equation of a linear model to predict a value of y from x.
  • Solve for x when the model gives a target value of y.
  • Interpret the slope as the change in y associated with a one-unit increase in x, with units.
  • Interpret the intercept in context and say whether it is meaningful.
  • Explain why predictions far outside the data range are less reliable.

Common misconceptions

Interpreting slope as a total

A slope of 1.5 cm per hour does not mean the plant is 1.5 cm tall. It is the change in height for each extra hour.

Treating predictions as certain

Model predictions are estimates. Real data points scatter around the line, so actual values will differ somewhat.

Trusting extrapolation

A model of children's heights predicts a 40-year-old would be over 3 meters tall. Models only hold near the data used to build them.

Forcing meaning onto the intercept

In a model of car value against age, the intercept may be sensible, but in a model of adult foot length against height it is not. Students should say when it makes no sense.

Worked example: predict and interpret

A linear model for weekly hours of practice (x) and points scored per game (y) on a basketball team is y = 1.5x + 4. Interpret the slope and intercept, and predict the points for a player who practices 8 hours a week.

  1. Slope 1.5: each additional hour of practice per week is associated with about 1.5 more points per game.
  2. Intercept 4: a player who does no practice is predicted to score about 4 points per game.
  3. Prediction for 8 hours: y = 1.5 × 8 + 4 = 12 + 4 = 16.
  4. If 8 hours is within the range of the team's data, 16 points is a reasonable estimate, but individual players will vary.

Answer: The model predicts about 16 points per game; the slope means 1.5 points per extra weekly hour of practice.

Teaching 8.SP.A.3

Build models from data the class has already plotted in 8.SP.A.1 and 8.SP.A.2, then ask students to write two sentences: one about the slope and one about the intercept, each naming both variables and units. Following up with an absurd extrapolation, such as predicting a 100-year-old's reaction time, makes the limits of models memorable.

State test items commonly give a model and ask what the slope represents or what value the model predicts. Students should practice substituting accurately and phrasing interpretations as associations rather than guarantees.

6 practice questions

Original questions written for this standard. Choose an option or type your answer, then press Check. Every question has a worked explanation.

Score: 0 / 6(0 of 6 checked)
  1. 1.

    A model for temperature (°F) and lemonade cups sold is y = 3x - 150. How many cups does it predict at 80°F?

    Answer and explanation

    Answer: 90

    y = 3(80) - 150 = 240 - 150 = 90 cups.

  2. 2.

    In the model y = 2.5x + 20, x is weeks and y is a puppy's mass in pounds. What does 2.5 mean?

    Question 2 options
    Answer and explanation

    Answer: C) The puppy gains about 2.5 pounds per week

    The slope is the change in mass for each additional week, about 2.5 pounds.

  3. 3.

    A model for a phone's resale value is y = -60x + 420, where x is age in years. After how many years does the model predict a value of $180?

    Answer and explanation

    Answer: 4

    Solve -60x + 420 = 180. Subtract 420: -60x = -240. Divide: x = 4 years.

  4. 4.

    A model of adult height (x, cm) and arm span (y, cm) is y = 1.02x - 2. What does the intercept, -2, represent?

    Question 4 options
    Answer and explanation

    Answer: A) A person of height 0 cm would have arm span -2 cm, which has no real meaning

    The intercept is the predicted y when x = 0. A height of 0 cm is far outside the data, so the intercept has no meaningful interpretation here.

  5. 5.

    A model was built from data on children aged 5 to 12. Which prediction is least reliable?

    Question 5 options
    Answer and explanation

    Answer: B) Age 30

    Age 30 is far outside the 5 to 12 range used to build the model, so predicting there is risky extrapolation.

  6. 6.

    Using y = 0.8x + 3 for tree height (m) at age x years, what height does the model predict at age 6?

    Answer and explanation

    Answer: 7.8 (also accepted: 7.8 m)

    y = 0.8 × 6 + 3 = 4.8 + 3 = 7.8 meters.

Builds on

Leads to

  • HSS-ID.C.7

    Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data.

Teach 8.SP.A.3

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FAQ

How should students interpret slope in 8.SP.A.3?

As the change in the y-variable associated with a one-unit increase in the x-variable, stated with both units, for example 1.5 cm of growth per extra hour of sunlight.

Is the y-intercept always meaningful?

No. It only makes sense when an x-value of zero is realistic and close to the data. Students should say when it is not.

More grade 8 Statistics & Probability standards

8.SP.A.1: Scatter plots and association8.SP.A.2: Fitting a line to scatter plot data8.SP.A.4: Two-way tables and relative frequency
All Grade 8 math standards →Standards home →